代写 BAFI 1045 Investment Company Valuation Assignment

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  • 代写 BAFI 1045 Investment Company Valuation Assignment

    BAFI 1045 Investment Company Valuation Assignment
    Semester 2 2016
    Company: To be advised by local lecturers
    Submission Date: Friday 23 rd September 2016, 7:00 PM (Singapore Time)
    [Syndicate (Group) Assignment – minimum 3/maximum 6 students per
    syndicate]
    For this assignment you are required to use publicly available information to analyse a
    publicly listed company and prepare a report which provides an assessment of the
    company’s current position and future prospects, and which incorporates the use of a
    range of valuation models to arrive at an estimate of the company’s share price. To
    provide structure the assignment should include the points listed below:
    The final submission of the Group Assignment should include the following:
    Part 1: Financial Performance and Current Issues (10%)
    In this section, students are expected to provide:
    • An evaluation of the company’s brief recent history and financial performance
    over time and also include peer group analysis.
    • Conduct ROE for the company following the DuPont ROE approach and
    include peer group comparison.
    • An analysis of the current issues facing the company, the industry it operates
    in, and explain the impact of the issues on the company’s future earnings.
    Part 2: Valuation Models (25%)
    The second part/section of the assignment should contain the estimation of the value
    of the company’s share using:
    ? Dividend valuation model (DDM)
    ? Free Cash Flow to Equity model (FCFE)
    ? Price/Earnings Ratio model (P/E)
    ? Price/Book Value Ratio model (P/B)
    You areexpected to use the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)- discussed intopic 3
    - to estimate the required rate of return or discount rate needed for each model. For
    CAPM estimation, you are required to calculate the following:
    1. Beta: You cannot pick a beta value estimated elsewhere (e.g.,
    Bloomberg) and use it in your report. Follow topic 3 lecture notes and
    relevant chapter (chapter 8) of the prescribed textbook to estimate the
    beta of the company and attach details of your work as an appendix.
    Also adjust the raw beta using appropriate methodology (refer to topic
    3 lecture notes).
    2
    2. Risk-Free Rate: Use10 years Govt. Bond Yield as a proxy for the
    risk-free rate. Indicate any advantages or disadvantages if there are
    any.
    3. Market Risk Premium: The estimation of the expected market risk
    premium is crucial. You must carefully explain what you do and any
    assumption you make while estimating market risk premium.
    • Risk Premium Estimation
    To estimate the risk premium, first, you have to estimate the expected
    market return. Assume that expected return on the market portfolio is
    related to a Macroeconomic variable, e.g., GDP. Then use the expected
    changes in the macroeconomic variable, with appropriate possible
    returns and appropriate probabilities (assume these returns and
    probabilities based on your analysis of current economic condition) to
    estimate expected return on the market portfolio. Then, subtract the
    RFR from the expected market return and arrive at your market risk
    premium.
    Once you estimate these three figures (1-3) you will be able to estimate the
    required rate of return or discount rate following CAPM that can be used in
    valuation models.

    代写 BAFI 1045 Investment Company Valuation Assignment
    Important points to be covered in Part 2:
    • Explain any assumptions made in implementing the models.
    • Where appropriate, explain how you arrived at the variables
    you are using. E.g., it is not enough to say you are assuming a 2
    percent growth rate. You would be expected to provide
    justification/motivation of how you arrive at 2 percent growth
    rate.
    • Provide an indication of the sensitivity of your valuations to
    changes in the assumptions. E.g. perform sensitivity analysis
    for each model.
    Part 3: Evaluation/Discussion of the value/price of the company (5%)
    Comment on your valuations from part 2, including a discussion of possible
    explanations of why your valuations differ from the current/recent share price. If
    appropriate, discuss why some of the above models may be unsuitable for valuing the
    company.
    Maximum word limit for the Company Valuation Assignment is 10,000 words.
    Assignment will be marked by 100 then will be scaled down to 40.
    3
    Note:
    Every single member of the syndicate is expected to do a part of implementing the
    valuation models. That is to say, there should not be the situation where a member
    only does the history and financial performance of the company without any input in
    the actual implementation of valuation model.
    The focus of this assignment is on the valuation, specifically generating the inputs
    into the valuation process and applying valuation models to these inputs to arrive at a
    range of share price estimates. The requirements outlined above have been designed
    to aid this process.
    For the discounted cash flow valuation models the primary requirement is to produce
    the appropriate expected return measures and discount rates to use in the models. For
    the relative valuation techniques the focus is on estimating the appropriate ratio
    multiples.
    It is important that forecasts of expected returns reflect the impact of the factors
    identified as current issues facing by the company. A common mistake is to identify a
    range of issues which will impact on the company’s future earnings or cash flows, but
    then produce a set of return forecasts which are simply extrapolations of historical
    returns, ignoring the impact of the factors identified as current issues. The
    development of return estimates requires judgement; it is not simply a statistical or
    mathematical forecasting exercise.
    代写 BAFI 1045 Investment Company Valuation Assignment
    References/Resources for group assignment
    Reilly, Frank K. and Keith C, Brown, Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management
    (10 th Edition), Thomson South-Western (2012): Chapters 10, 11, 12, 13, and 14.
    [Much of the material in these chapters is covered in earlier courses and these
    chapters should be used for revision purposes].
    Search Bloomberg, Yahoo! Finance, Google Finance site for business and financial
    market news. These deliver world economic news, stock futures, stock quotes, &
    personal finance advice.
    Damodaran, Aswith, Investment Valuation [2 nd Edition], available online at:
    http://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/
    Assignment submission procedure
    All assignments must be submitted online through the course Blackboard. They must
    be accompanied by an assignments cover sheet and submitted through Turnitin on the
    blackboard, a plagiarism checking tool. For information on Turnitin see:
    Student FAQ, http://www.rmit.edu.au/academicintegrity/studentfaq
    Student procedures and account setup (pdf),
    http://www.rmit.edu.au/academicintegrity/studentprocedures
    4
    Turnitin student information page,
    Student Quick Guide - How to submit an assignment through Turnitin available from
    the ADG webpage; http://www.rmit.edu.au/bus/adq
    Turnitin will assess your work in approximately one minute, and return a colour
    coded response for the originality of the text.
    Penalties for late submission
    All assignments will be marked as if submitted on time then the mark awarded will be
    reduced by 10% each day (or part of a day) it is late. Assignments that are late by 7
    days or more will not be marked and will be awarded zero marks.
    Presentation of Report
    The report is to be presented in the form of a business report. It should have an
    executive summary, outlining the main findings, at the beginning. The remainder can
    be structured in line with the above points. Calculations should be included in
    appendices.
    Reports are to be typed in Arial/Times new roman with a font size 11 in single or one
    and one-half space on A4 paper. Reports are to be stapled with two staples down the
    left-hand side, or secured with a fold-back clip. Do not attach information you have
    used in compiling the report, i.e. annual reports, newspaper articles etc., to the report.
    Syndicate Composition
    Syndicates are strictly limited to a minimum of three (3) and a maximum of six (6)
    students. Experience has shown that numbers either smaller or larger than these are
    dysfunctional. Syndicate composition is to be finalised by week 2.
    All groups are expected to include a CONTRIBUTION STATEMENT detailing, in
    exact terms, what each person in the group has done, when you submit the
    assignment.
    Please note that all students are expected to participate and contribute to the
    group assignment. Free riding would not be rewarded. As such students would
    be given a zero mark if it is shown that s/he did not contribute enough to the
    final output.
    代写 BAFI 1045 Investment Company Valuation Assignment